A climate projection dataset tailored for the European energy sector

被引:37
作者
Bartok, Blanka [1 ,2 ]
Tobin, Isabelle [1 ]
Vautard, Robert [1 ]
Vrac, Mathieu [1 ]
Jin, Xia [3 ]
Levavasseur, Guillaume [3 ]
Denvil, Sebastien [3 ]
Dubus, Laurent [4 ]
Parey, Sylvie [4 ]
Michelangeli, Paul-Antoine [4 ]
Troccoli, Alberto [5 ,6 ]
Saint-Drenan, Yves-Marie [7 ]
机构
[1] Lab CEA CNRS UVSQ, LSCE IPSL, F-91190 Gif Sur Yvette, France
[2] Babes Bolyai Univ, Fac Geog, 5-7 Clinicilor, Cluj Napoca 400006, Romania
[3] Inst Pierre Simon Laplace IPSL, 4 Pl Jussieu, F-75252 Paris 05, France
[4] Elect France R&D, 6 Quai Wader, F-78401 Chatou, France
[5] Univ East Anglia, Sch Environm Sci, Norwich NR4 7TJ, Norfolk, England
[6] World Energy & Meteorol Council WEMC, Norwich NR4 7TJ, Norfolk, England
[7] PSL Res Univ, MINES ParisTech, OIE Ctr Observat Impacts Energy, F-06904 Sophia Antipolis, France
关键词
EURO-CORDEX; Sub-ensemble selection; Bias-correction; Climate data; Energy sector; BIAS CORRECTION; CHANGE IMPACTS; WIND ENERGY; SIMULATIONS; CMIP5; PRECIPITATION; TEMPERATURE; DATABASE; TRENDS; CORDEX;
D O I
10.1016/j.cliser.2019.100138
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Climate information is necessary for the energy sector. However, the use of climate projections has remained limited so far for a number of reasons such us the lack of consistency among climate projections, the inadequate temporal and spatial resolution, the climate model biases, the lack of guidance for users, and the size of data sets. In this work, we develop and assess a consistent ensemble of high time and space resolution climate projections that address these problems. First, a methodology for sub-ensemble selection is developed and proposed. Our ensemble dataset includes eleven 12 km-resolution EURO-CORDEX simulations of temperature, precipitation, wind speed and surface solar radiation on 3-hourly and daily time scales. These variables are bias-corrected for a more effective use into impact studies. The assessment of bias-corrected model simulations against observational data indicates reduced biases and increased coherence in projected changes among models compared to the raw climate projections. We provide a well-documented dataset for energy practitioners and decision-makers to facilitate the access and use of energy-relevant high-quality climate information in operation and planning. The new dataset is freely available via the Earth System Grid Federation (ESGF) platform.
引用
收藏
页数:17
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