An Analytical Network Process model for risks prioritisation in megaprojects

被引:130
作者
Boateng, Prince [1 ]
Chen, Zhen [2 ]
Ogunlana, Stephen O. [2 ]
机构
[1] Robert Gordon Univ, Scott Sutherland Sch Architecture & Built Environ, Aberdeen AB10 7BP, Scotland
[2] Heriot Watt Univ, Sch Energy Geosci Infrastruct & Soc, Edinburgh EH14 4AS, Midlothian, Scotland
关键词
Risk assessment; Analytical Network Process; Megaproject; Decision making; CONSTRUCTION DELAYS; COST OVERRUNS; PROJECT; MANAGEMENT; PRODUCTIVITY; PERFORMANCE; POLITICS; PROGRAM; TOOL;
D O I
10.1016/j.ijproman.2015.08.007
中图分类号
C93 [管理学];
学科分类号
12 ; 1201 ; 1202 ; 120202 ;
摘要
Megaprojects are complex and expensive projects that often involve social, technical, economic, environmental and political (STEEP) challenges to project management. Despite these challenges, project owners and financiers continue to invest large sums of money in megaprojects that run high risks of being over schedule and over budget. While some degree of cost and schedule risks are considered during project planning, the challenge of modelling risks interactions and impacts on project performance still remains. To tackle this technical problem, this research adopted the Analytical Network Process and combined it with a new Risk Priority Index as an innovative approach to model risks analytically based on data collected from the Edinburgh Tram Network project at the construction phase. The approach provides an interactive way for developers to prioritise risks across the project supply network and to initiate timely mitigation strategies against significant cost and time consequences of STEEP risks on megaproject performance. (C) 2015 Elsevier Ltd. APM and IPMA. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:1795 / 1811
页数:17
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