Circulating D-dimer levels are better predictors of overall survival and disease progression than carcinoembryonic antigen levels in patients with metastatic colorectal carcinoma

BACKGROUND. Fibrin formation is required for tumor angiogenesis, metastasis, and invasion. D-dimer, a fibrin degradation product, is produced when crosslinked fibrin is degraded by plasmin. The current study prospectively examined D-dimer levels in patients with metastatic colorectal carcinoma treated in a Phase II randomized trial comparing bevacizumab (Avastin, Genentech, South San Francisco, CA) plus 5-fluorouracil/leucovorin (5-FU/LV) with 5-FU/LV alone. METHODS. At least one circulating D-dimer level was evaluable in 98 of the 104 previously untreated patients with metastatic colorectal carcinoma in the current trial. Plasma D-dimer levels were determined using a quantitative immunoassay kit at enrollment, before each treatment, and at the time of trial completion or disease progression. RESULTS. At trial enrollment, 86 of 104 patients (88%) had elevated D-dimer levels (> 20 ng/mL), and 86 of 102 patients (84%) had elevated carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) levels (> 3 ng/mL). Baseline D-dimer levels were correlated with the following baseline characteristics: CEA (Pearson coefficient, 0.31; P = 0.002), albumin levels (Pearson coefficient, -0.32; P = 0.002), tumor burden (Pearson coefficient, 0.30; P = 0.003), and number of metastatic sites (Pearson coefficient, 0.21; P = 0.04). At the time of progression, plasma D-dimer levels reached a maximum postbaseline value in 51 of 61 patients (84%), whereas the CEA level was at its maximum postbaseline value in 39 of 55 patients (71%). Baseline D-dimer levels were a strong predictor of overall survival on univariate analysis (P = 0.008) and multivariate analysis (P = 0.03). Overall, treatment with bevacizumab (5 mg/kg) and baseline D-dimer levels were the only predictors of overall survival (P < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS. The current study indicates that fibrin remodeling is an important prognostic feature in metastatic colorectal carcinoma. D-dimer levels should be incorporated into prognostic models, and D-dimer may represent a useful biomarker for patients treated with antiangiogenic agents. (C) 2004 American Cancer Society.