Coverage-adjusted Confidence Intervals for a Binomial Proportion

被引:11
作者
Thulin, Mans [1 ]
机构
[1] Uppsala Univ, Dept Math, S-75106 Uppsala, Sweden
关键词
proportion; binomial distribution; confidence interval;
D O I
10.1111/sjos.12021
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
We consider the classic problem of interval estimation of a proportion p based on binomial sampling. The 'exact' Clopper-Pearson confidence interval for p is known to be unnecessarily conservative. We propose coverage adjustments of the Clopper-Pearson interval that incorporate prior or posterior beliefs into the interval. Using heatmap-type plots for comparing confidence intervals, we show that the coverage-adjusted intervals have satisfying coverage and shorter expected lengths than competing intervals found in the literature.
引用
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页码:291 / 300
页数:10
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