Land use change under conditions of high population pressure: the case of Java']Java

被引：155

作者：

Verburg, PH ^{[1
]}

Veldkamp, T ^{[1
]}

Bouma, J ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Agr Univ Wageningen, Dept Environm Sci, Lab Soil Sci & Geol, NL-6700 AA Wageningen, Netherlands

来源：

GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS | 1999年 / 9卷 / 04期

关键词：

model; land use change; agricultural development; Indonesia;

D O I：

10.1016/S0959-3780(99)00175-2

中图分类号：

X [环境科学、安全科学];

学科分类号：

08 ; 0830 ;

摘要：

A long history of increases in population pressure in Java has caused agricultural land use to expand and intensify. More recent land use changes caused the conversion of prime agricultural land into residential and industrial area. Results of a dynamic, regional-scale, land use change model are presented, defining the spatial distribution of these land use changes. The model is based on multi-scale modelling of the relations between land use and socio-economic and biophysical determinants. Historical validation showed that the model can adequately simulate the pattern of land use change. Future patterns of land use change between 1994 and 2010 are simulated assuming further urbanization. The results suggest that most intensive land use changes will occur in Java's lowland areas. (C) 1999 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：303 / 312

页数：10