A Bayesian goodness-of-fit test for regression

Regression models are widely used statistical procedures, and the validation of their assumptions plays a crucial role in the data analysis process. Unfortunately, validating assumptions usually depends on the availability of tests tailored to the specific model of interest. A novel Bayesian goodness-of-fit hypothesis testing approach is presented for a broad class of regression models the response variable of which is univariate and continuous. The proposed approach relies on a suitable transformation of the response variable and a Bayesian prior induced by a predictor-dependent mixture model. Hypothesis testing is performed via Bayes factor, the asymptotic properties of which are discussed. The method is implemented by means of a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm, and its performance is illustrated using simulated and real data sets. (C) 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.