A patent analysis method to trace technology evolutionary pathways

被引：73

作者：

Zhou, Xiao ^{[1
]}

Zhang, Yi ^{[1
]}

Porter, Alan L. ^{[2
]}

Guo, Ying ^{[1
]}

Zhu, Donghua ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Beijing Inst Technol, Sch Management & Econ, Beijing 100081, Peoples R China

[2] Georgia Inst Technol, Sch Publ Policy, Atlanta, GA 30332 USA

来源：

SCIENTOMETRICS | 2014年 / 100卷 / 03期

基金：

美国国家科学基金会;

关键词：

Patent analysis; Technology evaluation; Market shift; Dye-sensitized; solar cells (DSSCs); MODEL;

D O I：

10.1007/s11192-014-1317-4

中图分类号：

TP39 [计算机的应用];

学科分类号：

081203 ; 0835 ;

摘要：

Increased competition due to rapid technological development pushes all participants in the market to focus on the prospect of New and Emerging Science & Technologies (NESTs). One promising NEST, dye-sensitized solar cells (DSSCs), has attracted attention in recent years. We focus on three research questions: how can we estimate DSSCs research activity trends; how can we identify DSSCs market expansion patterns; and, seeking to identify potential subsystems, what are the likely evolutionary paths of DSSCs development? In this paper, patent analysis is applied to help determine the developmental stage of a particular technology and trace its potential evolutionary pathways. In addition, since patent information can reflect commercial degree, we use patent transfer patterns to help evaluate market shift prospects.

引用

页码：705 / 721

页数：17

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