Age of infection;
Epidemiological model;
Delay;
Lyapunov function;
Disease control;
ANTIVIRAL TREATMENT;
PANDEMIC INFLUENZA;
DRUG-RESISTANCE;
TRANSMISSION;
STABILITY;
DELAY;
D O I:
10.1007/s11587-018-0360-5
中图分类号:
O29 [应用数学];
学科分类号:
070104 ;
摘要:
We revisit a previously established model for influenza transmission dynamics, in which antiviral treatment as a single containment strategy was administered within a specified window of opportunity for initiating treatment. We extend this model to a more general framework with age-of-infection dependent treatment rates. The resulting age structured model can be transformed into a closed system of delay differential equations, for which we perform a complete global stability analysis. By constructing suitable Lyapunov functions, we show that the effective reproduction number fully characterizes the possible outcomes of disease dynamics. Our results allow us to evaluate treatment strategies and examine the impact of treatment delays on the potential success of disease control.
机构:
Heilongjiang Univ, Sch Math Sci, Harbin 150080, Peoples R ChinaHeilongjiang Univ, Sch Math Sci, Harbin 150080, Peoples R China
Wang, Jinliang
Zhang, Ran
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机构:
Heilongjiang Univ, Sch Math Sci, Harbin 150080, Peoples R ChinaHeilongjiang Univ, Sch Math Sci, Harbin 150080, Peoples R China
Zhang, Ran
Kuniya, Toshikazu
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h-index: 0
机构:
Kobe Univ, Grad Sch Syst Informat, Nada Ku, 1-1 Rokkodai Cho, Kobe, Hyogo 6578501, JapanHeilongjiang Univ, Sch Math Sci, Harbin 150080, Peoples R China
机构:
Hong Kong Baptist Univ United Int Coll, Beijing Normal Univ, Fac Sci & Technol, Dept Math Sci, Zhuhai, Guangdong, Peoples R China
HKBU United Int Coll, Guangdong Prov Key Lab Interdisciplinary Res & App, BNU, Zhuhai, Guangdong, Peoples R ChinaHong Kong Baptist Univ United Int Coll, Beijing Normal Univ, Fac Sci & Technol, Dept Math Sci, Zhuhai, Guangdong, Peoples R China