Global dynamics of an epidemiological model with age-of-infection dependent treatment rate

被引:0
|
作者
Rost, Gergely [1 ]
Kuniya, Toshikazu [2 ]
Moghadas, Seyed M. [3 ]
Wu, Jianhong [4 ]
机构
[1] Univ Szeged, Bolyai Inst, Szeged, Hungary
[2] Kobe Univ, Grad Sch Syst Informat, Kobe, Hyogo, Japan
[3] York Univ, Agent Based Modelling Lab, Toronto, ON M3J 1P3, Canada
[4] York Univ, Dept Math & Stat, Toronto, ON M3J 1P3, Canada
基金
加拿大自然科学与工程研究理事会;
关键词
Age of infection; Epidemiological model; Delay; Lyapunov function; Disease control; ANTIVIRAL TREATMENT; PANDEMIC INFLUENZA; DRUG-RESISTANCE; TRANSMISSION; STABILITY; DELAY;
D O I
10.1007/s11587-018-0360-5
中图分类号
O29 [应用数学];
学科分类号
070104 ;
摘要
We revisit a previously established model for influenza transmission dynamics, in which antiviral treatment as a single containment strategy was administered within a specified window of opportunity for initiating treatment. We extend this model to a more general framework with age-of-infection dependent treatment rates. The resulting age structured model can be transformed into a closed system of delay differential equations, for which we perform a complete global stability analysis. By constructing suitable Lyapunov functions, we show that the effective reproduction number fully characterizes the possible outcomes of disease dynamics. Our results allow us to evaluate treatment strategies and examine the impact of treatment delays on the potential success of disease control.
引用
收藏
页码:125 / 140
页数:16
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