Forecasting MBT technologies using DEA and LR

被引:3
作者
Cho, Yonghee [1 ]
Anderson, Timothy R. [1 ]
机构
[1] Portland State Univ, Dept Engn & Technol Management, 1900 SW Fourth Ave, Portland, OR 97201 USA
关键词
Technology forecasting; Data Envelopment Analysis; Main Battle Tank; Linear Regression; BATTLE; EFFICIENCY; SYSTEM;
D O I
10.1080/09537325.2016.1213384
中图分类号
C93 [管理学];
学科分类号
12 ; 1201 ; 1202 ; 120202 ;
摘要
First, this paper explores Main Battle Tank (MBT) data set with different statistical methods in order to decide the most appropriate variables as reliable yardsticks in applying technology forecasting (TF) using data envelopment analysis (TFDEA) technique. It then applies TF using DEA method to forecast MBT technologies. This article attempts to predict technology development year of MBT commercialised from 1941 to 1994. This article presents the processes of TFDEA in detail and identifies some issues to search for appropriate input and output variables to forecast MBT technologies. The purpose of this study is to address some issues and identify an appropriate data to predict future trends of MBT technologies when using TFDEA and multiple linear regression tools. Finally, the study provides an understanding of the technological advances being sought in MBT technologies and information for use in making decisions regarding development strategy.
引用
收藏
页码:353 / 369
页数:17
相关论文
共 45 条
[1]  
ALEXANDER AJ, 1973, TECHNOL FORECAST SOC, V5, P189, DOI 10.1016/0040-1625(73)90032-2
[2]   Further examination of Moore's law with data envelopment analysis [J].
Anderson, T ;
Färe, R ;
Grosskopf, S ;
Inman, L ;
Song, XY .
TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE, 2002, 69 (05) :465-477
[3]  
Anderson T., 2003, ENCY INFORM SYSTEM, V1, P445
[4]   Technology forecasting for wireless communication [J].
Anderson, Timothy R. ;
Daim, Tugrul U. ;
Kim, Jisun .
TECHNOVATION, 2008, 28 (09) :602-614
[5]  
[Anonymous], 2006, JANES ARMOUR ARTILLE
[6]  
Bahadur Gaiutra, 2014, US MILITARY
[7]   SOME MODELS FOR ESTIMATING TECHNICAL AND SCALE INEFFICIENCIES IN DATA ENVELOPMENT ANALYSIS [J].
BANKER, RD ;
CHARNES, A ;
COOPER, WW .
MANAGEMENT SCIENCE, 1984, 30 (09) :1078-1092
[8]   Allocating fixed costs and resources via data envelopment analysis [J].
Beasley, JE .
EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF OPERATIONAL RESEARCH, 2003, 147 (01) :198-216
[9]  
Chames A., 1991, J PROD ANAL, V2, P197, DOI DOI 10.1007/BF00159732
[10]   MEASURING EFFICIENCY OF DECISION-MAKING UNITS [J].
CHARNES, A ;
COOPER, WW ;
RHODES, E .
EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF OPERATIONAL RESEARCH, 1978, 2 (06) :429-444