Climate adaptation of interconnected infrastructures: a framework for supporting governance

被引:50
作者
Bollinger, L. A. [1 ]
Bogmans, C. W. J. [2 ]
Chappin, E. J. L. [1 ]
Dijkema, G. P. J.
Huibregtse, J. N. [3 ]
Maas, N. [3 ]
Schenk, T. [4 ]
Snelder, M. [3 ]
van Thienen, P. [5 ]
de Wit, S. [3 ]
Wols, B. [5 ]
Tavasszy, L. A. [3 ]
机构
[1] Delft Univ Technol, Fac TPM, NL-2600 GA Delft, Netherlands
[2] Vrije Univ Amsterdam, Amsterdam, Netherlands
[3] TNO, Delft, Netherlands
[4] MIT, Cambridge, MA 02139 USA
[5] KWR Watercycle Res Inst, Nieuwegein, Netherlands
关键词
Climate change adaptation; Governance; Road; Electricity; Drinking water; Socio-technical systems; Systems of systems; CHANGE IMPACTS; TRANSPORT; WEATHER; ENERGY; EUROPE; MODEL;
D O I
10.1007/s10113-013-0428-4
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Infrastructures are critical for human society, but vulnerable to climate change. The current body of research on infrastructure adaptation does not adequately account for the interconnectedness of infrastructures, both internally and with one another. We take a step toward addressing this gap through the introduction of a framework for infrastructure adaptation that conceptualizes infrastructures as complex socio-technical "systems of systems" embedded in a changing natural environment. We demonstrate the use of this framework by structuring potential climate change impacts and identifying adaptation options for a preliminary set of cases-road, electricity and drinking water infrastructures. By helping to clarify the relationships between impacts at different levels, we find that the framework facilitates the identification of key nodes in the web of possible impacts and helps in the identification of particularly nocuous weather conditions. We also explore how the framework may be applied more comprehensively to facilitate adaptation governance. We suggest that it may help to ensure that the mental models of stakeholders and the quantitative models of researchers incorporate the essential aspects of interacting climate and infrastructure systems. Further research is necessary to test the framework in these contexts and to determine when and where its application may be most beneficial.
引用
收藏
页码:919 / 931
页数:13
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