The impact of the Covid-19 pandemic in a polarized political system: Lessons from the 2020 election

被引:8
作者
Miller, Jon D. [1 ]
Woods, Logan T. [2 ]
Kalmbach, Jason [3 ]
机构
[1] Univ Michigan, Int Ctr Adv Sci Literacy, Inst Social Res, 426 Thompson St, Ann Arbor, MI 48106 USA
[2] Univ Michigan, Dept Polit Sci, 5700 Haven Hall,509 S State St, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USA
[3] Natl Coalit Independent Scholars NCIS, Ann Arbor, MI USA
基金
美国国家航空航天局;
关键词
Ideological partisanship; Affective partisanship; Presidential vote; Religious fundamentalism; And Covid-19 knowledge and understanding; SEXISM; CONSEQUENCES; PARTISANSHIP; ELECTORATE; ORIGINS; RACISM;
D O I
10.1016/j.electstud.2022.102548
中图分类号
D0 [政治学、政治理论];
学科分类号
0302 ; 030201 ;
摘要
Given the deep polarization of the American political system in recent decades, was the 2020 presidential election an extension of the pre-existing partisan coalitions or did the Covid-19 pandemic and its economic consequences have a significant impact on the outcome? Using a national probability sample provided by AmeriSpeak and voter verification provided by Catalist, we construct a structural equation model to examine the relative influence of age, race, gender, education, religious fundamentalism, ideological partisanship, affective partisanship, and measures of Covid-19 experiences and understanding to predict the 2020 vote. We re-construct the partisan polarization landscape to examine the role of politically interested non-partisans in the center of the ideological spectrum and examine their ability to select candidates in response of specific issues. The Covid-19 pandemic had a significant marginal impact on the outcome of the 2020 presidential election.
引用
收藏
页数:10
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