Globalisation and monetary policy-A FAVAR analysis for the G7 and the eurozone

被引:25
作者
Belke, Ansgar [1 ]
Rees, Andreas [2 ]
机构
[1] Univ Duisburg Essen, IZA, Monetary Experts Panel European Parliament, Bonn, Germany
[2] Unicredit, Munich, Germany
关键词
Global shocks; International business cycle; International transmission of macroeconomic policies; Factor augmented vector autoregressive (FAVAR) models; Common factors;
D O I
10.1016/j.najef.2014.06.003
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
We assess the significance of global shocks for the world economy and national central banks and governments. More specifically, we investigate whether monetary policy has become less effective in the wake of financial globalization. We also analyze whether there is increasing uncertainty for central banks due to globalization-driven changes in the national economic structure. A FAVAR framework is applied to identify structural shocks on a world level and their effect on other global and national variables. To estimate our macroeconomic model, we employ quarterly data from Q1 1984 to Q4 2007 for the G7 countries and the euro area. According to our results, global liquidity shocks significantly influence the world economy and also various national economies. But common shocks driven by real estate prices and GDP also turn out to be significant at a global scale. These results prove to be robust across different specifications. (C) 2014 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:306 / 321
页数:16
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