Urine peptidome analysis predicts risk of end-stage renal disease and reveals proteolytic pathways involved in autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease progression

Background: Autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) is characterized by slowly progressive bilateral renal cyst growth ultimately resulting in loss of kidney function and end-stage renal disease (ESRD). Disease progression rate and age at ESRD are highly variable. Therapeutic interventions therefore require early risk stratification of patients and monitoring of disease progression in response to treatment. Methods: We used a urine peptidomic approach based on capillary electrophoresis-mass-spectrometry (CE-MS) to identify potential biomarkers reflecting the risk for early progression to ESRD in the Consortium of Radiologic Imaging in Polycystic Kidney Disease (CRISP) cohort. Results: A biomarker-based classifier consisting of 20 urinary peptides allowed the prediction of ESRD within 10-13 years of follow-up in patients 24-46 years of age at baseline. The performance of the biomarker score approached that of heightadjusted total kidney volume (htTKV) and the combination of the biomarker panel with htTKV improved prediction over either one alone. In young patients (< 24 years at baseline), the same biomarker model predicted a 30 mL/min/1.73 m(2) glomerular filtration rate decline over 8 years. Sequence analysis of the altered urinary peptides and the prediction of the involved proteases by in silico analysis revealed alterations in distinct proteolytic pathways, in particular matrix metalloproteinases and cathepsins. Conclusion: We developed a urinary test that accurately predicts relevant clinical outcomes in ADPKD patients and suggests altered proteolytic pathways involved in disease progression.