An open platform to assess vulnerabilities to climate change: An application to agricultural systems

被引：8

作者：

Eza, Ulrich ^{[1
]}

Shtiliyanova, Anastasiya ^{[1
]}

Borras, David ^{[1
]}

Bellocchi, Gianni ^{[1
]}

Carrere, Pascal ^{[1
]}

Martin, Raphael ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] French Natl Inst Agr Res INRA, Grassland Ecosyst Res Unit, F-63039 Clermont Ferrand, France

来源：

ECOLOGICAL INFORMATICS | 2015年 / 30卷

关键词：

Climate change; Grasslands; Modeling platform; Vulnerability assessment; SOFTWARE COMPONENT; CHANGE IMPACTS; SIMULATION; MODEL; ADAPTATION; INDICATOR;

D O I：

10.1016/j.ecoinf.2015.10.009

中图分类号：

Q14 [生态学（生物生态学）];

学科分类号：

071012 ; 0713 ;

摘要：

Numerous climate futures are now available from global climate models. Translation of climate data such as precipitation and temperatures into ecologically meaningful outputs for managers and planners is the next frontier. We describe a model-based open platform to assess vulnerabilities of agricultural systems to climate change on pixel-wise data. The platform includes a simulation modeling engine and is suited to work with NetCDF format of input and output files. In a case study covering a region (Auvergne) in the Massif Central of France, the platform is configured to characterize climate (occurrence of arid conditions in historical and projected climate records), soils and human management, and is then used to assess the vulnerability to climate change of grassland productivity (downscaled to a fine scale). We demonstrate how using climate time series, and process-based simulations vulnerabilities can be defined at fine spatial scales relevant to farmers and land managers, and can be incorporated into management frameworks. (C) 2015 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：389 / 396

页数：8

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