Combining corporate governance indicators with stacking ensembles for financial distress prediction

被引:88
作者
Liang, Deron [1 ]
Tsai, Chih-Fong [2 ]
Lu, Hung-Yuan [3 ]
Chang, Li-Shin [1 ]
机构
[1] Natl Cent Univ, Dept Comp Sci & Informat Engn, Taoyuan, Taiwan
[2] Natl Cent Univ, Dept Informat Management, Taoyuan, Taiwan
[3] Calif State Univ Fullerton, Mihaylo Coll Business & Econ, Fullerton, CA 92634 USA
关键词
Data mining; Financial distress prediction; Bankruptcy prediction; Corporate governance indicators; Stacking ensembles; BANKRUPTCY PREDICTION; NEURAL-NETWORK; RATIOS; MODELS; SELECTION; CRISIS; BANKS;
D O I
10.1016/j.jbusres.2020.07.052
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
In this paper, we use a stacking ensemble to construct a bankruptcy prediction model. We collect a comprehensive list of 40 financial ratios (FRs) and 21 corporate governance indicators (CGIs) for US companies, and conduct two experiments. In the first, we utilize all FRs and CGIs to build our model. Our results show that this model does not perform significantly better than the baseline models. In the second experiment, we use 6 specific FRs and 6 specific CGIs selected by a stepwise discriminant analysis to construct another model. We find that this model performs better than the baseline models, and exhibits strong performance when the costs of mis-classifying bankruptcy companies are high.
引用
收藏
页码:137 / 146
页数:10
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