Temporal-spatial pattern and driving factors of cultivated land use transition at country level in Shaanxi province, China

The county-level Cultivated Land Use Form index (CLUF) in Shaanxi province in 2000, 2005, 2010, and 2015 was measured with the entropy method and the linear combination method. Then, the spatial differentiation characteristics and driving mechanism of CLUF were characterized and identified through exploratory spatial data analysis, standard deviation ellipse model, kernel density estimation, multiple linear, and spatial regression analysis. The conclusions drawn from empirical results were as follows. First, the CLUF presented a spatial differentiation pattern of high in the middle and low in the north and south, and the CLUF had a strong positive spatial correlation. The local spatial patterns were mainly the high-high agglomeration and low-low agglomeration. Second, the gravity center of CLUF moves from northeast to southwest, but it is always located in the central part of Shaanxi province. The CLUF showed a trend from expansion and decentralization to contraction and centralization in geographical space, with an obvious spatial spillover effect. Third, the results of nuclear density estimation showed that the difference in the CLUF between counties displayed a trend of first shrinking and then expanding. Fourth, the cultivated land use transition was promoted by the combination of the natural environment, economic growth, and urbanization development, and factors of the driving mechanism of the cultivated land use transition are complicated. Finally, policy recommendations to promote the rationalization and cultivated land use transition were put forward, such as strengthening infrastructure construction, formulating differentiated policies, and giving play to the role of neighboring demonstrations.