Rainfall variability and drought characteristics in two agro-climatic zones: An assessment of climate change challenges in Africa

被引:87
作者
Ayanlade, Ayansina [1 ,2 ]
Radeny, Maren [2 ]
Morton, John F. [3 ]
Muchaba, Tabitha [2 ]
机构
[1] Obafemi Awolowo Univ, Dept Geog, Ife, Nigeria
[2] Int Livestock Res Inst, CGIAR Res Programmed Climate Change Agr & Food Se, Nairobi, Kenya
[3] Univ Greenwich, Nat Resources Inst, Chatham, Kent, England
基金
美国海洋和大气管理局;
关键词
Climate change; Drought characteristics; Perceptions of drought; Africa; AGRICULTURAL DROUGHT; SMALLHOLDER FARMERS; SEASONAL RAINFALL; TOLERANT MAIZE; RAINY-SEASON; NIGERIA; ADAPTATION; ONSET; VULNERABILITY; IMPACTS;
D O I
10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.02.196
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
This paper examines drought characteristics as an evidence of climate change in two agro-climatic zones of Nigeria and farmers' climate change perceptions of impacts and adaptation strategies. The results show high spatial and temporal rainfall variability for the stations. Consequently, there arc several anomalies in rainfall in recent years but much more in the locations around the Guinea savanna. The inter-station and seasonality statistics reveal less variable and wetter early growing seasons and late growing seasons in the Rainforest zone, and more variable and drier growing seasons in other stations. The probability (p) of dry spells exceeding 3, 5 and 10 consecutive days is very high with 0.62 <= p >= 0.8 in all the stations, though, the p-values for 10 day spells drop below 0.6 in lbaclan and Osogbo. The results further show that rainfall is much more reliable from the month of May until July with the coefficient of variance for rainy days <0.30, but less reliable in the months of March, August and October (CV-RD > 0.30), though CV-RD appears higher in the month of August for all the stations. It is apparent that farmers' perceptions of drought fundamentally mirror climatic patterns from historical weather data. The study concludes that the adaptation facilities and equipment, hybrids of crops and animals are to be provided to farmers, at a subsidized price by the government, for them to cope with the current condition of climate change. (C) 2018 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V.
引用
收藏
页码:728 / 737
页数:10
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