Probabilistic load flow with correlated input random variables using uniform design sampling

被引:31
作者
Cai, Defu [1 ]
Shi, Dongyuan [1 ]
Chen, Jinfu [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol, State Key Lab Adv Electromagnet Engn & Technol, Wuhan 430074, Peoples R China
[2] Washington State Univ, Energy Syst Innovat Ctr, Pullman, WA 99164 USA
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
Probabilistic load flow; Uniform design sampling; A method based on rank correlation; Marginal transformation; Monte Carlo simulation method; Wind power; POINT ESTIMATE METHOD; POWER-FLOW; NATAF TRANSFORMATION; DISTRIBUTION-SYSTEMS; CUMULANTS;
D O I
10.1016/j.ijepes.2014.05.027
中图分类号
TM [电工技术]; TN [电子技术、通信技术];
学科分类号
0808 ; 0809 ;
摘要
This paper proposes a probabilistic load flow (PLF) methodology using uniform design sampling (UDS). The correlation between input random variables has been taken into consideration. The random numbers of random variables uniformly distributed in (0,1) are generated by UDS, and subsequently converted into random numbers of input random variables with desired marginal distributions by marginal transformation. Then these random numbers of input random variables are permutated by a method based on rank correlation to satisfy the desired correlation between input random variables. The statistical properties and probability distributions of node voltage and line flow are calculated by Monte Carlo simulation method and statistical method. Considering the uncertainty of correlated wind power and loads, the performance of the proposed PLF methodology is investigated using modified IEEE 14-bus and IEEE 57-bus test systems. (C) 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:105 / 112
页数:8
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