A kind of demand forecasting model based on Holt-Winters model and customer-credit evaluation model

被引：4

作者：

Zhu, Guangyu ^{[1
]}

Zheng, Changqing ^{[2
]}

Hu, Hui ^{[1
]}

Guan, Wei ^{[1
]}

Shen, Jinsheng ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Beijing Jiao Tong Univ, Sch Traff & Transportat, Beijing 100044, Peoples R China

[2] Beijing Publ Safety & Traff Adm Bur, Sci Res Inst, Beijing, Peoples R China

来源：

2006 INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON SERVICE SYSTEMS AND SERVICE MANAGEMENT, VOLS 1 AND 2, PROCEEDINGS | 2006年

关键词：

demand forecasting; Holt-Winters model; customer-credit evaluation;

D O I：

10.1109/ICSSSM.2006.320636

中图分类号：

F [经济];

学科分类号：

02 ;

摘要：

A kind of combination forecasting model based on Holt-Winters method and the evaluation model of customer credit are proposed in this paper, utilizing the time series data of demand. The Holt-Winters model is used to identify the pattern which contained in data set, while the customer-credit evaluation model is used to analyze the intent of ordering, which can reduce the uncertainty of prediction. Thus a favorable result can be got by the combination of these two values of forecasting.

引用

页码：334 / 338

页数：5

共 12 条

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