Global dynamics of a network epidemic model for waterborne diseases spread

被引:78
作者
Wang, Yi [1 ]
Cao, Jinde [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] Southeast Univ, Dept Math, Nanjing 210096, Jiangsu, Peoples R China
[2] King Abdulaziz Univ, Dept Math, Fac Sci, Jeddah 21589, Saudi Arabia
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
Transmission routes; Complex networks; Basic reproduction number; Kirchhoff's matrix tree theorem; Global stability; Immunization strategies; COMPLEX HETEROGENEOUS NETWORKS; SCALE-FREE NETWORKS; INFECTIOUS-DISEASES; SIS MODEL; NONLINEAR INFECTIVITY; CHOLERA EPIDEMIC; TRANSMISSION; STABILITY; OUTBREAKS; ECOLOGY;
D O I
10.1016/j.amc.2014.03.148
中图分类号
O29 [应用数学];
学科分类号
070104 ;
摘要
A network epidemic model for waterborne diseases spread is formulated, which incorporates both indirect environment-to-human and direct human-to-human transmission routes. We consider direct human contacts as a heterogeneous network and assume homogeneous mixing between the environment and human population. The basic reproduction number R-0 is derived through the local stability of disease-free equilibrium and established as a sharp threshold that governs the disease dynamics. In particular, we have shown that the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable if R-0 < 1; while if R-0 > 1, in case of permanent immunity the endemic equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable based on Kirchhoff's matrix tree theorem, and in case of temporal immunity sufficient conditions are given to guarantee global stability of the endemic equilibrium. Moreover, various immunization strategies are investigated and compared. The results obtained are informative for us to further understand the disease propagation in multiple transmission routes and devise some effective intervening measures to fight against the diseases spread. (C) 2014 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:474 / 488
页数:15
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