Vanguards in revolution

被引:17
作者
Shadmehr, Mehdi [1 ,2 ]
Bernhardt, Dan [3 ,4 ]
机构
[1] Univ Chicago, Harris Sch Publ Policy, Chicago, IL 60637 USA
[2] Univ Calgary, Dept Econ, Calgary, AB, Canada
[3] Univ Illinois, Dept Econ, Chicago, IL 60680 USA
[4] Univ Warwick, Dept Econ, Coventry, W Midlands, England
关键词
Vanguard; Revolution; Radicalism; Coercion; Coordination; Learning; Option to delay; REGIME CHANGE; COORDINATION; LEADERSHIP; CASCADES; PROTEST;
D O I
10.1016/j.geb.2019.01.007
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
Revolutionary vanguards, their radicalism and coercive actions, and their interactions with ordinary citizens and the state are common threads in narratives of revolutionary movements. But what are the defining features of revolutionary vanguards? The literature is replete with terms that allude to some notion of a revolutionary vanguard (e.g., revolutionary entrepreneurs, entrepreneurs of violence, early -risers), but the essence of these conceptions and their implications for revolutionary process remain obscure. We identify and differentiate the two main notions of vanguards, the Leninist and "early riser" notions, and develop a formal framework that captures their distinguishing features, deriving their implications for the likelihood of revolution. We then use this framework to study three related and overlooked topics: (a) state strategies in mitigating the vanguard's influence on citizens; (b) citizens' preferences for the degree of vanguard radicalism; and (c) the vanguards' use of coercion against citizens. (C) 2019 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:146 / 166
页数:21
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