CHA2DS2VASc score predicts unsuccessful electrical cardioversion in patients with persistent atrial fibrillation

Background: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common arrhythmia occurring in 2% of the population. It is known that AF increases morbidity and limits quality of life. The CHA(2)DS(2)VASc score (congestive heart failure/left ventricular dysfunction, hypertension, age 75 (doubled), diabetes, stroke (doubled), vascular disease, age 65-74 and sex category (female)) is widely used to assess thrombotic complications. The CHA(2)DS(2)VASc score was not used until now in predicting the effectiveness of electrical cardioversion. Aim: To assess the value of CHA(2)DS(2)VASc score in predicting unsuccessful electrical cardioversion. Methods: We analysed 258 consecutive patients with persistent AF who underwent electrical cardioversion between January 2012 and April 2016 in a Cardiology University Centre in Poland. Results: Out of 3500 hospitalised patients with AF, 258 (mean age 6411years, 64% men) underwent electrical cardioversion. The CHA(2)DS(2)VASc score in analysed population (258 patients) was 2.5 +/- 1.7 (range 0-8), and the HAS-BLED (hypertension, abnormal liver or renal function, stroke, bleeding, labile international normalised ratio, elderly, drugs or alcohol) was 1 +/- 0.9 (range 0-4). Electrical cardioversion was unsuccessful in 12%. Factors associated with unsuccessful cardioversion were age (P=0.0005), history of ischaemic stroke (P=0.04), male gender (P=0.01) and CHA(2)DS(2)VASc score (P=0.002). The CHA(2)DS(2)VASc score in patients who had unsuccessful cardioversion was higher compared to patients who had successful cardioversion - 3.5 versus 2.4 (P=0.001). In the logistic regression model, if the CHA(2)DS(2)VASc score increases by 1, the odds of unsuccessful cardioversion increase by 39% (odds ratio (OR) 1.39; confidence interval (CI): 1.12-1.71; P=0.002). The odds of unsuccessful cardioversion are three times higher in patients with a CHA(2)DS(2)VASc score2 than in patients with a CHA(2)DS(2)VASc score of 0 or 1 (OR 3.06; CI: 1.03-9.09; P=0.044). Conclusion: The CHA(2)DS(2)VASc score routinely used in thromboembolic risk assessment may be a simple, easy and reliable scoring system that can be used to predict unsuccessful electrical cardioversion.