Variations in global temperature and precipitation for the period of 1948 to 2010

被引:25
作者
Sun, Qiaohong [1 ]
Kong, Dongxian [1 ]
Miao, Chiyuan [1 ]
Duan, Qingyun [1 ]
Yang, Tiantian [2 ]
Ye, Aizhong [1 ]
Di, Zhenhua [1 ]
Gong, Wei [1 ]
机构
[1] Beijing Normal Univ, State Key Lab Earth Surface Proc & Resource Ecol, Coll Global Change & Earth Syst Sci, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China
[2] Univ Calif Irvine, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Irvine, CA 92697 USA
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
Global climate change; Mann-Kendall test; Rescaled range analysis; Wave transform; MANN-KENDALL TEST; 20TH-CENTURY TEMPERATURE; VOLCANIC-ERUPTIONS; WAVELET TRANSFORM; DETECT TREND; CLIMATE; DISCHARGE; CHINA; TESTS;
D O I
10.1007/s10661-014-3811-9
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Climate change has impacts on both natural and human systems. Accurate information regarding variations in precipitation and temperature is essential for identifying and understanding these potential impacts. This research applied Mann-Kendall, rescaled range analysis and wave transform methods to analyze the trends and periodic properties of global and regional surface air temperature (SAT) and precipitation (PR) over the period of 1948 to 2010. The results show that 65.34 % of the area studied exhibits significant warming trends (p < 0.05) while only 3.18 % of the area exhibits significant cooling trends. The greatest warming trends are observed in Antarctica (0.32 A degrees C per decade) and Middle Africa (0.21 A degrees C per decade). Notably, 62.26 % of the area became wetter, while 22.01 % of the area shows drying trends. Northern Europe shows the largest precipitation increase, 12.49 mm per decade. Western Africa shows the fastest drying, -21.05 mm per decade. The rescaled range analysis reveals large areas that show persistent warming trends; this behavior in SAT is more obvious than that in PR. Wave transform results show that a 1-year period of SAT variation dominates in all regions, while inconsistent 0.5-year bands are observed in East Asia, Middle Africa, and Southeast Asia. In PR, significant power in the wavelet power spectrum at a 1-year period was observed in 17 regions, i.e., in all regions studied except Western Europe, where precipitation is instead characterized by 0.5-year and 0.25-year periods. Overall, the variations in SAT and PR can be consistent with the combined impacts of natural and anthropogenic factors, such as atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases, the internal variability of climate system, and volcanic eruptions.
引用
收藏
页码:5663 / 5679
页数:17
相关论文
共 52 条
  • [1] River flow trends in the west of Iran during the past 40 years: Impact of precipitation variability
    Abghari, Hirad
    Tabari, Hossein
    Talaee, P. Hosseinzadeh
    [J]. GLOBAL AND PLANETARY CHANGE, 2013, 101 : 52 - 60
  • [2] Global observed changes in daily climate extremes of temperature and precipitation
    Alexander, LV
    Zhang, X
    Peterson, TC
    Caesar, J
    Gleason, B
    Tank, AMGK
    Haylock, M
    Collins, D
    Trewin, B
    Rahimzadeh, F
    Tagipour, A
    Kumar, KR
    Revadekar, J
    Griffiths, G
    Vincent, L
    Stephenson, DB
    Burn, J
    Aguilar, E
    Brunet, M
    Taylor, M
    New, M
    Zhai, P
    Rusticucci, M
    Vazquez-Aguirre, JL
    [J]. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2006, 111 (D5)
  • [3] [Anonymous], 2010, NEW GPCC FULL DATA R
  • [4] [Anonymous], 1992, SCI ATMOS SIN, DOI DOI 10.1002/HYP.6200
  • [5] [Anonymous], 1975, J. Econ
  • [6] WAVELET TRANSFORMS AND THEIR APPLICATIONS TO TURBULENCE
    FARGE, M
    [J]. ANNUAL REVIEW OF FLUID MECHANICS, 1992, 24 : 395 - 457
  • [7] Forster P, 2007, AR4 CLIMATE CHANGE 2007: THE PHYSICAL SCIENCE BASIS, P129
  • [8] Observed monthly precipitation trends in China 1951-2002
    Gemmer, M
    Becker, S
    Jiang, T
    [J]. THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY, 2004, 77 (1-2) : 39 - 45
  • [9] Gong D., 1999, SCI GEOGRAPHICA SINI, V19, P102
  • [10] Application of the cross wavelet transform and wavelet coherence to geophysical time series
    Grinsted, A
    Moore, JC
    Jevrejeva, S
    [J]. NONLINEAR PROCESSES IN GEOPHYSICS, 2004, 11 (5-6) : 561 - 566