A hybrid method to trace technology evolution pathways: a case study of 3D printing

被引：67

作者：

Huang, Ying ^{[1
]}

Zhu, Donghua ^{[1
]}

Qian, Yue ^{[1
]}

Zhang, Yi ^{[1
,2
]}

Porter, Alan L. ^{[3
,4
]}

Liu, Yuqin ^{[5
]}

Guo, Ying ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Beijing Inst Technol, Sch Management & Econ, Beijing 100081, Peoples R China

[2] Univ Technol Sydney, Fac Engn & Informat Technol, Sydney, NSW 2007, Australia

[3] Georgia Inst Technol, Sch Publ Policy, Atlanta, GA 30332 USA

[4] Search Technol Inc, Norcross, GA 30092 USA

[5] Beijing Inst Graph Commun, Acad Printing & Packaging Ind Technol, Beijing 102600, Peoples R China

来源：

SCIENTOMETRICS | 2017年 / 111卷 / 01期

基金：

美国国家科学基金会; 中国国家自然科学基金;

关键词：

Tech mining; Technology innovation; Technology evolution; Main path analysis; 3D printing; PATENT CITATION ANALYSIS; SCIENCE-AND-TECHNOLOGY; EMERGING TECHNOLOGIES; SEMANTIC-TRIZ; LIFE-CYCLE; INNOVATION; NETWORKS; ENERGY; TRAJECTORIES; INTELLIGENCE;

D O I：

10.1007/s11192-017-2271-8

中图分类号：

TP39 [计算机的应用];

学科分类号：

081203 ; 0835 ;

摘要：

Whether it be for countries to improve the ability to undertake independent innovation or for enterprises to enhance their international competitiveness, tracing historical progression and forecasting future trends of technology evolution is essential for formulating technology strategies and policies. In this paper, we apply co-classification analysis to reveal the technical evolution process of a certain technical field, use co-word analysis to extract implicit or unknown patterns and topics, and employ main path analysis to discover significant clues about technology hotspots and development prospects. We illustrate this hybrid approach with 3D printing, referring to various technologies and processes used to synthesize a three-dimensional object. Results show how our method offers technical insights and traces technology evolution pathways, and then helps decision-makers guide technology development.

引用

页码：185 / 204

页数：20

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