Coherent beliefs are not always types

被引:18
作者
Heifetz, A [1 ]
Samet, D
机构
[1] Tel Aviv Univ, Sch Econ, IL-69978 Tel Aviv, Israel
[2] Tel Aviv Univ, Fac Management, IL-69978 Tel Aviv, Israel
关键词
coherent beliefs; types; probabilistic uncertainty;
D O I
10.1016/S0304-4068(98)00066-4
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
For two interacting agents, we construct a space of nature states S and a coherent hierarchy of beliefs (sigma-additive probability measures) of one agent about S, about S and the beliefs of the other agent about S, and so on-a hierarchy that has no sigma-additive coherent extension over S and the hierarchies of the other agent. Thus, this hierarchy of beliefs cannot be the description of the beliefs of some type in some Harsanyi [Harsanyi, J.C., 1967-1968. Games with incomplete information played by Bayesian players, parts I, LI, and LU. Man, Sc, 14, 159-182, 320-334, 486-502] type space, Therefore, the space C of coherent hierarchies over S properly contains the universal space T* of 'all possible types' over S, We show how to extract Th out Of C in a transfinite process. (C) 1999 Elsevier Science S.A. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:475 / 488
页数:14
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