Identifying climate change hotspots relevant for ecosystems in Romania

被引:14
作者
Cheval, Sorin [1 ,2 ,3 ]
Dumitrescu, Alexandru [2 ,3 ]
Adamescu, Mihai [4 ]
Cazacu, Constantin [4 ]
机构
[1] Henri Coanda Air Force Acad, Brasov 500187, Romania
[2] Natl Meteorol Adm, Bucharest 013686, Romania
[3] Univ Bucharest, Res Inst, Bucharest 050107, Romania
[4] Univ Bucharest, Res Ctr Syst Ecol & Sustainabil, Bucharest 050095, Romania
基金
欧盟地平线“2020”;
关键词
Climate change; Hotspots; Bioclimatic variables; Romania; CHANGE HOT-SPOTS; SPECIES DISTRIBUTION; VARIABILITY; CARPATHIANS; IMPACTS; PRECIPITATION; FUTURE; REGION; MODELS;
D O I
10.3354/cr01603
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Studies regarding species distribution, resilience and adaptability of different ecosystems as well as the response of human society are linked with our ability to identify past and predict future changes. Climate change, together with other changes like land use, land cover and invasive alien species, are important to establish the background for further modelling approaches (e.g. species modelling, ecosystem resilience, etc.). We used high-quality and homogeneous air temperature and precipitation data sets for Romania in order to detect climate change hotspots. The changes were quantified considering 2 periods: 1961-1986 (reference) and 1987-2013 (current conditions). Bioclimatic variables were used to identify the climate change hotspots relevant for different decision makers. The identification of areas affected by significant changes may support the development of mitigation plans for enhancing the resilience and adaptive capacity of socio-economical systems to future impacts.
引用
收藏
页码:165 / 173
页数:9
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