An example of the dependence of the transient climate response on the temperature of the modelled climate state

被引：6

作者：

Brierley, Chris M. ^{[1
]}

Thorpe, Alan J. ^{[2
]}

Collins, Matthew ^{[3
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Reading, Dept Meteorol, Reading, Berks, England

[2] NERC, Swindon, Wilts, England

[3] Met Off Hadley Ctr, Exeter, Devon, England

来源：

ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE LETTERS | 2009年 / 10卷 / 01期

基金：

英国自然环境研究理事会;

关键词：

climate model; transient climate response; climate sensitivity; CENTER COUPLED MODEL; HEAT TRANSPORTS; OCEAN; SENSITIVITY; VERSION;

D O I：

10.1002/asl.205

中图分类号：

P3 [地球物理学]; P59 [地球化学];

学科分类号：

0708 ; 070902 ;

摘要：

The range in absolute global mean surface temperature projected with a small, perturbed ocean physics ensemble reduces as the levels of CO2 increase. The initial temperature state of an ensemble member is correlated to the amount of global warming seen in that member. The correlation arises, in approximately equal amounts, by variations in the ocean heat uptake within the ensemble and a dependency of the strength of the atmosphere-surface climate feedbacks on the initial climate. This relationship provides a clear warning that some uncertainty in global change projections derives from the simulation of the mean state. Copyright (c) 2008 Royal Meteorological Society and Crown Copyright

引用

页码：23 / 28

页数：6

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