Restoration of Lake Okeechobee, Florida: mission impossible?

Canfield DE Jr, Bachmann RW, Hoyer MV. 2020. Restoration of Lake Okeechobee, Florida: mission impossible? Lake Reserv Manage. XX:XXX-XXX. Legally mandated eutrophication restoration goals for Lake Okeechobee (FL) are unachievable, therefore assigning managers a "mission impossible." Since the 1970s, restoration efforts have focused on reducing pelagic total phosphorus (TP) to similar to 40 mu g/L. A total daily maximum load (TMDL) of 140 metric tons (t)/yr was adopted by the Florida Department of Environmental Protection in 1999 (effective date 2015) to restore the lake's balance of flora and fauna. Phosphorus (P) loads (1975-2018) averaged 516 t/yr with no significant change over time, yet average TP significantly increased from 51 mu g/L (1974-1977) to 146 mu g/L (2015-2019). Greater TP values in 2019 were due to Hurricane Irma and an early June storm event. Annual P-loads and pelagic TP were not significantly correlated. Instead, TP was strongly correlated with turbidity (R (2) = 0.85), which is generated by wave-driven resuspension of P-rich unconsolidated sediments. Since 1973, >13,000 t of TP has been added to Okeechobee's sediments that have accumulated over the past century due to the lowering of water levels and the construction of the Herbert Hoover Dike. Prior to settlement, high water levels allowed turbid lake waters to flood large areas of adjacent wetlands, where suspended sediments were removed from the lake. With the minimization of this self-cleansing mechanism after construction of the Herbert Hoover Dike, P-rich fine sediments accumulated, and periodic hurricanes disrupted consolidated sediments. Unconsolidated sediments are easily resuspended into the water column, raising TP. Efforts to reduce Okeechobee's pelagic TP through reductions of P-loads alone will not work due to sediment accumulation and resuspension.