Information asymmetry in decision from description versus decision from experience

被引:0
作者
Hadar, Liat [1 ]
Fox, Craig R. [2 ]
机构
[1] Interdisciplinary Ctr Herzliya, Arison Sch Business, IL-46150 Herzliyya, Israel
[2] Univ Calif Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA USA
来源
JUDGMENT AND DECISION MAKING | 2009年 / 4卷 / 04期
关键词
decision from experience; experience-description gap; uncertainty; risk; information asymmetry; PROSPECT-THEORY; RARE EVENTS; RISK; OUTCOMES; CHOICE; IMPACT;
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
B84 [心理学];
学科分类号
04 ; 0402 ;
摘要
In this paper we investigate the claim that decisions from experience (in which the features of lotteries are learned through a sampling process) differ from decisions from description (in which features of lotteries are explicitly described). We find that the experience-description gap is not as robust as has been previously assumed. We argue that when this gap appears it is driven to a large extent by asymmetries in information concerning which events are possible and which are certain. First, we find that, when experience-based decision makers sample events without error and then are told what outcomes are associated with each possible event, they are risk seeking for low-probability gains and risk averse for high-probability gains, as in description-based decision making. Second, we find that the experience-description gap for low-probability outcomes appears when rare outcomes are never experienced but disappears when: 1) all distinct outcomes are experienced at least once or 2) never-experienced outcomes are described as possibilities. Third, we find that the experience-description gap for high-probability outcomes is pronounced when decision makers previously experience lotteries that both offered the possibility of a zero outcome (which presumably makes them doubt that an always-experienced outcome is certain), but disappears when they have not previously experienced such lotteries.
引用
收藏
页码:317 / 325
页数:9
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