PV System Power Forecasting Based on Neural Network with Fuzzy Processing of Weather Factors

被引:0
作者
Hu, Yongqiang [1 ]
Wang, Mingyu [1 ]
机构
[1] North China Elect Power Univ, Dept Elect Engn, Baoding, Peoples R China
来源
ENERGY DEVELOPMENT, PTS 1-4 | 2014年 / 860-863卷
关键词
PV system; power forecasting; neural network; weather factors; fuzzy processing;
D O I
10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMR.860-863.172
中图分类号
TE [石油、天然气工业]; TK [能源与动力工程];
学科分类号
0807 ; 0820 ;
摘要
A short-term PV system power forecasting method is presented in the paper based on neural network considering fuzzy characteristics of weather factors. Weather factors that affect PV system power output mainly include temperature, radiation intensity, rain and relative humidity which are all of strong fuzziness. The paper firstly made use of membership functions to process their fuzziness. Then, the historical power data of a PV system was put into neural network together with fuzzy processed historical weather data to train the network, therefore, neural network that be able to forecast PV power was get. Finally, data of an actual PV system in Colorado was employed to methods with and without fuzzy processing of weather factors, results show that the method with fuzzy processing is more accurate than that without fuzzy processing.
引用
收藏
页码:172 / +
页数:2
相关论文
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