Mathematical model to assess the imposition of lockdown during COVID-19 pandemic

被引:62
作者
Baba, Isa Abdullahi [1 ]
Yusuf, Abdullahi [2 ,3 ]
Nisar, Kottakkaran Sooppy [4 ]
Abdel-Aty, Abdel-Haleem [5 ,6 ]
Nofal, Taher A. [7 ]
机构
[1] Bayero Univ Kano, Dept Math Sci, Kano, Nigeria
[2] Biruni Univ, Dept Comp Engn, TR-34010 Istanbul, Turkey
[3] Fed Univ Dutse, Dept Math, Jigawa 7156, Nigeria
[4] Prince Sattam Bin Abdulaziz Univ, Coll Arts & Sci, Dept Math, Wadi Aldawaser 11991, Saudi Arabia
[5] Univ Bisha, Coll Sci, Dept Phys, POB 344, Bisha 61922, Saudi Arabia
[6] Al Azhar Univ, Fac Sci, Phys Dept, Assiut 71524, Egypt
[7] Taif Univ, Coll Sci, Dept Math & Stat, POB 11099, At Taif 21944, Saudi Arabia
关键词
Covid-19; Lockdown; Stability analysis; Runge-Kutta method; FRACTIONAL DERIVATIVES; TRANSMISSION; DISEASE;
D O I
10.1016/j.rinp.2020.103716
中图分类号
T [工业技术];
学科分类号
08 ;
摘要
Nigeria, like most other countries in the world, imposes lockdown as a measure to curtail the spread of COVID-19. But, it is known fact that in some countries the lockdown strategy could bring the desired results while in some the situation could worsen the spread of the virus due to poor management and lack of facilities, palliatives and incentives. To this regard, we feel motivated to develop a new mathematical model that assesses the imposition of the lockdown in Nigeria. The model comprises of a system of five ODE. Mathematical analysis of the model were carried out, where boundedness, computation of equilibria, calculation of the basic reproduction ratio and stability analysis of the equilibria were carried out. We finally study the numerical outcomes of the governing model in respect of the approximate solutions. To this aim, we employed the effective ODE45, Euler, RK-2 and RK-4 schemes and compare the results.
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页数:7
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