Earthquake Magnitude Conversion Problem

被引:32
作者
Das, Ranjit [1 ,2 ]
Wason, H. R. [3 ]
Gonzalez, Gabriel [2 ,4 ]
Sharma, M. L. [3 ]
Choudhury, Deepankar [5 ]
Lindholm, Conrad [6 ]
Roy, Narayan [7 ]
Salazar, Pablo [2 ,4 ]
机构
[1] Univ Catolica Norte, Ave Angamos 0610, Antofagasta, Chile
[2] Natl Res Ctr Integrated Nat Disaster Management, Ave Vicuna Mackenna 4860, Macul La Florida, Region Metropol, Chile
[3] Indian Inst Technol Roorkee, Earthquake Engn Dept, Haridwar 247667, Uttarakhand, India
[4] Univ Catolica Norte, Dept Ciencias Geol, Ave Angamos 0610, Antofagasta, Chile
[5] Indian Inst Technol, Civil Engn Dept, Bombay 400076, Maharashtra, India
[6] Renders Vei 15N, N-2007 Kjeller, Norway
[7] Jadavpur Univ Kolkata, Civil Engn Dept, 188 Raja SC Mallick Rd, Kolkata 700032, W Bengal, India
关键词
GENERAL ORTHOGONAL REGRESSION; MOMENT-MAGNITUDE; BODY-WAVE; SURFACE-WAVE; COMPLETENESS; CATALOG; SEISMICITY; CALIFORNIA; VARIABLES; ERRORS;
D O I
10.1785/0120170157
中图分类号
P3 [地球物理学]; P59 [地球化学];
学科分类号
0708 ; 070902 ;
摘要
General orthogonal regression (GOR) is a superior regression procedure for conversion of different magnitude types into preferred ones. It yields a linear relation between dependent (Y-t) and independent variable (X-t) based on observed data (X-obs, Y-obs). Recent investigations have shown that the conventional GOR procedure for obtaining Y-t by substituting X-obs in the GOR relation is incorrect, because the error in X-obs introduces some bias in Y-t. One way to reduce this bias in the Y-t estimate is to use X-t (instead of X-obs) given by a standard linear regression (SLR) relation between X-t and X-obs. However, this approach does not have ease of application and does not permit statistical verification. Therefore, we propose a modified procedure in which the derived GOR relationship is used to develop a SLR relation directly between Y-t and X-obs to estimate Y, for a given X-obs, thereby eliminating the need to estimate and substitute X-t. We verify the supremacy of the proposed GOR procedure over the conventional procedure (X-t replaced by X-obs) and the SLR procedure by using observed and synthetic datasets. We observe that the proposed GOR procedure provides an improved estimate of Y-t compared with both the conventional GOR and SLR. The proposed GOR provides lower errors in slope and intercept compared with SLR and yields improved correlation coefficient (R-xy) and standard error values as compared with the other two approaches. The newly developed GOR procedure with eta = 1 provides the highest accuracy in Y-t estimates as compared with the SLR and conventional GOR approaches. Our analysis also concludes that incorrect application of regression procedure can introduce a bias in the Gutenberg-Richter parameter b in the 5%-42% range. Therefore, we recommend the use of the proposed GOR to develop regression relations for earthquake magnitude conversions.
引用
收藏
页码:1995 / 2007
页数:13
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