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Science Needs for Sea-Level Adaptation Planning: Comparisons among Three US Atlantic Coastal Regions
被引:8
|作者:
Lindeman, Kenyon C.
[1
]
Dame, Lauren E.
[1
]
Avenarius, Christine B.
[2
]
Horton, Benjamin P.
[3
,4
,5
]
Donnelly, Jeffrey P.
[6
]
Corbett, D. Reide
[7
]
Kemp, Andrew C.
[8
]
Lane, Phil
[6
]
Mann, Michael E.
[9
]
Peltier, W. Richard
[10
]
机构:
[1] Florida Inst Technol, Dept Educ & Interdisciplinary Studies, Melbourne, FL 32901 USA
[2] E Carolina Univ, Dept Anthropol, Greenville, NC USA
[3] Rutgers State Univ, Dept Marine & Coastal Sci, Sea Level Res, New Brunswick, NJ 08903 USA
[4] Nanyang Technol Univ, Div Earth Sci, Singapore 639798, Singapore
[5] Nanyang Technol Univ, Earth Observ Singapore, Singapore 639798, Singapore
[6] Woods Hole Oceanog Inst, Dept Geol & Geophys, Woods Hole, MA 02543 USA
[7] E Carolina Univ, Dept Geol Sci, Greenville, NC USA
[8] Tufts Univ, Dept Earth & Ocean Sci, Medford, MA 02155 USA
[9] Penn State Univ, Dept Meteorol, State Coll, PA USA
[10] Univ Toronto, Dept Phys, Toronto, ON, Canada
基金:
美国国家科学基金会;
关键词:
adaptation;
climate;
land use;
planning;
sea-level rise;
QUALITATIVE DATA-ANALYSIS;
CLIMATE-CHANGE;
MANAGEMENT;
COMMUNICATION;
PERCEPTIONS;
PSYCHOLOGY;
FRAMES;
D O I:
10.1080/08920753.2015.1075282
中图分类号:
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号:
08 ;
0830 ;
摘要:
To identify priority information needs for sea-level rise planning, we conducted workshops in Florida, North Carolina, and Massachusetts in the summer of 2012. Attendees represented professionals from five stakeholder groups: federal and state governments, local governments, universities, businesses, and nongovernmental organizations. Over 100 people attended and 96 participated in breakout groups. Text analysis was used to organize and extract most frequently occurring content from 16 total breakout groups. The most frequent key words/phrases were identified among priority topics within five themes: analytic tools, communications, land use, ecosystem management, and economics. Diverse technical and communication tools were identified to help effectively plan for change. In many communities, planning has not formally begun. Attendees sought advanced prediction tools yet simple messaging for decision-makers facing politically challenging planning questions. High frequency key words/phrases involved fine spatial scales and temporal scales of less than 50 years. Many needs involved communications and the phrase "simple messaging" appeared with the highest frequency. There was some evidence of geographic variation among regions. North Carolina breakout groups had a higher frequency of key words/phrases involving land use. The results reflect challenges and tractable opportunities for planning beyond current, geophysically brief, time scales (e.g., election cycles and mortgage periods).
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页码:555 / 574
页数:20
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