Oil Spill Risk Analysis of Tanker Berthing and Handling Operation Based on Fuzzy Bow-Tie Model

被引：0

作者：

Cui Wengang ^{[1
]}

Fan Houming ^{[1
]}

Yao Xi ^{[1
]}

Yang Yu ^{[1
]}

Ma Mengzhi ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Dalian Maritime Univ, Transportat Management Coll, Dalian 116026, Peoples R China

来源：

2016 INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON SYSTEM RELIABILITY AND SCIENCE (ICSRS 2016) | 2016年

基金：

中国国家自然科学基金;

关键词：

oil spill; risk analysis; bow-tie model; oil tanker berthing; handling operation;

D O I：

暂无

中图分类号：

TM [电工技术]; TN [电子技术、通信技术];

学科分类号：

0808 ; 0809 ;

摘要：

The operation system of oil tanker berthing and handling is complicated. Once oil spill accident occurs, consequences are beyond measure. The bow-tie model is established to have a comprehensive analysis of the causes and consequences of the oil spill during the operation of tanker berthing and handling. The fault tree analysis is applied to analyze the risk factors associated with oil spill, while the event tree analysis is used to analyze the consequences that might happen. The oil spill likelihood of oil tanker berthing and handling operation is obtained by combining the fuzzy set theory with expert evaluation. The weight values of oil spill consequences are determined by the analytic hierarchy process. The risk values of oil spill events are calculated by the matrix multiplication. The research enriches the theoretical research on the safety management of oil terminals, providing reference for the risk management of oil tanker berthing and handling operation.

引用

页码：72 / 77

页数：6

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