Background As smoking rates decreased, the use of Swedish snus (smokeless tobacco) concordantly increased in Norway. The role of snus as possible contributor to the reduction of smoking has been widely discussed. Our aim was to quantitate transitions in snus use, smoking and dual use of snus and cigarettes in a young male population. Methods This prospective cohort study includes 1346 boys participating in the Nord-Trondelag Health Study in Young-HUNT1 1995-97, age 13-19 and in HUNT3 2006-08, age 23-30. Participants reported on tobacco use at both points of time. Models with binominal regression were applied to examine relative risks (RRs), of adolescent ever snus users, dual users or smokers (reference: never tobacco use), to be current snus only users, smokers (including dual users), or tobacco free in adulthood. Results Current tobacco use in this male cohort increased from 27% in adolescence to 49% in adulthood, increasing more for snus only use and dual use than for smoking only. The adjusted RR (95% CI) of becoming a smoker as young adult, was 2.2 (CI 1.7-2.7) for adolescent snus users, 3.6 (CI 3.0-4.3) for adolescent dual users, and 2.7 (CI 2.2-3.3) for adolescent smokers. RR to become snus only users as adults was 3.1 (2.5-3.9) for adolescent dual users, 2.8 (2.2-3.4) for adolescent snus users and 1.5 (1.0-2.2) for adolescent smokers. The adjusted RR for the transition from adolescent tobacco use to no tobacco use in adulthood was similar for snus users and smokers with RR 0.5 (CI 0.4-0.7), but considerably lower for dual users with RR 0.2 (CI 0.2-0.3). Conclusions The use of snus, with or without concurrent smoking, carried a high risk of adult smoking as well as adult snus only use. Dual use seemed to promote the opportunity to become snus only users in adulthood, but made it also more difficult to quit. The benefit of snus use for harm reduction is not evident in our cohort, as the combination of smoking and dual use resulted in high smoking rates among the young adults.
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Univ Iowa, Carver Coll Med, Stead Family Dept Pediat, Div Dev & Behav Pediat, Iowa City, IA USAUniv Queensland, Princess Alexandra Hosp, Sch Med, Woolloongabba, Qld, Australia
Strathearn, Lane
Najman, Jake M.
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Univ Queensland, Sch Publ Hlth, Queensland Alcohol & Drug Res & Educ Ctr, Herston, Qld, AustraliaUniv Queensland, Princess Alexandra Hosp, Sch Med, Woolloongabba, Qld, Australia
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Univ Minnesota, Div Epidemiol & Community Hlth, Minneapolis, MN USAUniv Minnesota, Div Epidemiol & Community Hlth, Minneapolis, MN USA
Taylor, Naomi
Choi, Kelvin
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Univ Minnesota, Div Epidemiol & Community Hlth, Minneapolis, MN USA
Natl Inst Minor Hlth & Hlth Dispar, Div Intramural Res, Bethesda, MD 20892 USAUniv Minnesota, Div Epidemiol & Community Hlth, Minneapolis, MN USA
Choi, Kelvin
Forster, Jean
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Univ Minnesota, Div Epidemiol & Community Hlth, Minneapolis, MN USAUniv Minnesota, Div Epidemiol & Community Hlth, Minneapolis, MN USA
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Univ New S Wales, Natl Drug & Alcohol Res Ctr, Sydney, NSW, AustraliaUniv New S Wales, Natl Drug & Alcohol Res Ctr, Sydney, NSW, Australia
Swift, Wendy
Coffey, Carolyn
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Murdoch Childrens Res Inst, Ctr Adolescent Hlth, Melbourne, Vic, AustraliaUniv New S Wales, Natl Drug & Alcohol Res Ctr, Sydney, NSW, Australia
Coffey, Carolyn
Degenhardt, Louisa
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Univ New S Wales, Natl Drug & Alcohol Res Ctr, Sydney, NSW, AustraliaUniv New S Wales, Natl Drug & Alcohol Res Ctr, Sydney, NSW, Australia
Degenhardt, Louisa
Carlin, John B.
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Univ Melbourne, Dept Paediat, Melbourne, Vic, Australia
Murdoch Childrens Res Inst, Clin Epidemiol & Biostat Unit, Melbourne, Vic, AustraliaUniv New S Wales, Natl Drug & Alcohol Res Ctr, Sydney, NSW, Australia
Carlin, John B.
Romaniuk, Helena
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Univ Melbourne, Dept Paediat, Melbourne, Vic, Australia
Murdoch Childrens Res Inst, Clin Epidemiol & Biostat Unit, Melbourne, Vic, AustraliaUniv New S Wales, Natl Drug & Alcohol Res Ctr, Sydney, NSW, Australia
Romaniuk, Helena
Patton, George C.
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Murdoch Childrens Res Inst, Ctr Adolescent Hlth, Melbourne, Vic, AustraliaUniv New S Wales, Natl Drug & Alcohol Res Ctr, Sydney, NSW, Australia