Robust test for structural instability in dynamic factor models

被引:1
作者
Kim, Byungsoo [1 ]
Song, Junmo [2 ]
Baek, Changryong [3 ]
机构
[1] Yeungnam Univ, Dept Stat, 280 Daehak Ro, Gyongsan 38541, Gyeongbuk, South Korea
[2] Kyungpook Natl Univ, Dept Stat, 80 Daehakro, Daegu 41566, South Korea
[3] Sungkyunkwan Univ, Dept Stat, 25-2 Sungkyunkwan Ro, Seoul 03063, South Korea
关键词
High-dimensional time series; Dynamic factor models; Minimum density power divergence; Parameter change test; Outliers; DIVERGENCE ESTIMATOR; OUTLIERS; SHOCKS; NUMBER; BREAKS; GARCH;
D O I
10.1007/s10463-020-00773-0
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
In this paper, we consider a robust test for structural breaks in dynamic factor models. The proposed framework considers structural changes when the underlying high-dimensional time series is contaminated by outlying observations, which are often observed in many real applications such as fMRI, economics and finance. We propose a test based on the robust estimation of a vector autoregressive model for principal component factors using minimum density power divergence. The simulations study shows excellent finite sample performance, higher powers while achieving good sizes in all cases considered. Our method is illustrated to the resting state fMRI series to detect brain connectivity changes.
引用
收藏
页码:821 / 853
页数:33
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