A Bayesian network to manage risks of maritime piracy against offshore oil fields

被引:73
作者
Bouejla, Amal [1 ]
Chaze, Xavier [1 ]
Guamieri, Franck [1 ]
Napoli, Aldo [1 ]
机构
[1] MINES ParisTech, Crisis & Risk Res Ctr CRC, 1 Rue Claude Daunesse,BP 207, F-06904 Sophia Antipolis, France
关键词
Oil platforms; Offshore oil fields; Pirate attacks; Bayesian networks; Quantitative and qualitative knowledge; SAFETY ASSESSMENT;
D O I
10.1016/j.ssci.2014.04.010
中图分类号
T [工业技术];
学科分类号
08 ;
摘要
In recent years, pirate attacks against shipping and oil field installations have become more frequent and more serious. This article proposes an innovative solution to the problem of offshore piracy from the perspective of the entire processing chain: from the detection of a potential threat to the implementation of a response. The response to an attack must take into account multiple variables: the characteristics of the threat and the potential target, existing protection tools, environmental constraints, etc. The potential of Bayesian networks is used to manage this large number of parameters and identify appropriate countermeasures. (C) 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:222 / 230
页数:9
相关论文
共 16 条
[1]  
[Anonymous], 2009, BAYESIAN NETWORKS DE
[2]  
*BMI, 2011, STUDY PIR COSTS WORL
[3]   Application of Bayesian Networks in Quantitative Risk Assessment of Subsea Blowout Preventer Operations [J].
Cai, Baoping ;
Liu, Yonghong ;
Liu, Zengkai ;
Tian, Xiaojie ;
Zhang, Yanzhen ;
Ji, Renjie .
RISK ANALYSIS, 2013, 33 (07) :1293-1311
[4]  
Dabrowski J.J., 2013, INFORM FUSION, V9, P90
[5]   Marine and offshore safety assessment by incorporative risk modeling in a fuzzy-Bayesian network of an induced mass assignment paradigm [J].
Eleye-Datubo, A. G. ;
Wall, A. ;
Wang, J. .
RISK ANALYSIS, 2008, 28 (01) :95-112
[6]  
Hudson L, 2002, APPL BAYESIAN NETWOR
[7]   Quantitative risk analysis of offshore drilling operations: A Bayesian approach [J].
Khakzad, Nima ;
Khan, Faisal ;
Amyotte, Paul .
SAFETY SCIENCE, 2013, 57 :108-117
[8]   Application of Bayesian network to the probabilistic risk assessment of nuclear waste disposal [J].
Lee, CJ ;
Lee, KJ .
RELIABILITY ENGINEERING & SYSTEM SAFETY, 2006, 91 (05) :515-532
[9]  
Leray P, 2008, STUD COMPUT INTELL, V156, P219
[10]   A Bayesian network analysis of workplace accidents caused by falls from a height [J].
Martin, J. E. ;
Rivas, T. ;
Matias, J. M. ;
Taboada, J. ;
Argueelles, A. .
SAFETY SCIENCE, 2009, 47 (02) :206-214