Towards a comprehensive climate impacts assessment of solar geoengineering

被引:48
作者
Irvine, Peter J. [1 ,2 ]
Kravitz, Ben [3 ]
Lawrence, Mark G. [1 ]
Gerten, Dieter [4 ,5 ]
Caminade, Cyril [6 ]
Gosling, Simon N. [7 ]
Hendy, Erica J. [8 ]
Kassie, Belay T. [9 ]
Kissling, W. Daniel [10 ]
Muri, Helene [11 ]
Oschlies, Andreas [12 ]
Smith, Steven J. [13 ]
机构
[1] Inst Adv Sustainabil Studies, Potsdam, Germany
[2] Harvard Univ, John A Paulson Sch Engn & Appl Sci, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA
[3] Pacific Northwest Natl Lab, Atmospher Sci & Global Change Div, Richland, WA USA
[4] Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res, Res Domain Earth Syst Anal, Potsdam, Germany
[5] Humboldt Univ, Dept Geog, Berlin, Germany
[6] Univ Liverpool, Inst Infect & Global Hlth, Liverpool, Merseyside, England
[7] Univ Nottingham, Sch Geog, Nottingham, England
[8] Univ Bristol, Sch Earth Sci, Bristol, Avon, England
[9] Univ Florida, Dept Agr & Biol Engn, Gainesville, FL USA
[10] Univ Amsterdam, Inst Biodivers & Ecosyst Dynam, Amsterdam, Netherlands
[11] Univ Oslo, Dept Geosci, Oslo, Norway
[12] GEOMAR Helmholtz Ctr Ocean Res Kiel, Kiel, Germany
[13] Pacific Northwest Natl Lab, Joint Global Change Res Inst, College Pk, MD USA
关键词
climate impacts; climate change; geoengineering; climate engineering; solar radiation management; ISI-MIP; RADIATION MANAGEMENT; STRATOSPHERIC AEROSOLS; IRRADIANCE REDUCTION; EXTREMES INDEXES; MODEL; CARBON; SENSITIVITY; INJECTIONS; RESPONSES; DESIGN;
D O I
10.1002/2016EF000389
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Despite a growing literature on the climate response to solar geoengineeringproposals to cool the planet by increasing the planetary albedothere has been little published on the impacts of solar geoengineering on natural and human systems such as agriculture, health, water resources, and ecosystems. An understanding of the impacts of different scenarios of solar geoengineering deployment will be crucial for informing decisions on whether and how to deploy it. Here we review the current state of knowledge about impacts of a solar-geoengineered climate and identify the major research gaps. We suggest that a thorough assessment of the climate impacts of a range of scenarios of solar geoengineering deployment is needed and can be built upon existing frameworks. However, solar geoengineering poses a novel challenge for climate impacts research as the manner of deployment could be tailored to pursue different objectives making possible a wide range of climate outcomes. We present a number of ideas for approaches to extend the survey of climate impacts beyond standard scenarios of solar geoengineering deployment to address this challenge. Reducing the impacts of climate change is the fundamental motivator for emissions reductions and for considering whether and how to deploy solar geoengineering. This means that the active engagement of the climate impacts research community will be important for improving the overall understanding of the opportunities, challenges, and risks presented by solar geoengineering.
引用
收藏
页码:93 / 106
页数:14
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