CT-Based Radiomics Model for Predicting Brain Metastasis in Category T1 Lung Adenocarcinoma

OBJECTIVE. The purpose of this study is to develop and evaluate an unenhanced CT-based radiomics model to predict brain metastasis (BM) in patients with category T1 lung adenocarcinoma. MATERIALS AND METHODS. A total of 89 eligible patients with category T1 lung adenocarcinoma were enrolled and classifled as patients with BM (n = 35) or patients without BM (n = 54). A total of 1160 quantitative radiomic features were extracted from unenhanced CT images of each patient. Three prediction models (the clinical model, the radiomics model, and a hybrid [clinical plus radiomics] model) were established. The ROC AUC value and 10-fold cross-validation were used to evaluate the prediction performance of the models. RESULTS. In terms of predictive performance, the mean AUC value was 0.759 (95% CI, 0.643-0.867; sensitivity, 82.9%; specificity, 57.4%) for the clinical model, 0.847 (95% CI, 0.739-0.915; sensitivity, 80.0%; specificity, 81.5%) for the radiomics model, and 0.871 (95% CI, 0.767-0.933; sensitivity = 82.9%, specificity = 83.3%) for the hybrid model. The hybrid and radiomics models (p = 0.0072 and 0.0492, respectively) performed significantly better than the clinical model. No significant difference was found between the radiomics model and the hybrid model (p = 0.1022). CONCLUSION. A CT-based radiomics model presented good predictive performance and great potential for predicting BM in patients with category T1 lung adenocarcinoma. As a promising adjuvant tool, it can be helpful for guiding BM screening and thus benefiting personalized surveillance for patients with lung cancer.