Spatial diffusion of the 2015-2016 Zika, dengue and chikungunya epidemics in Rio de Janeiro Municipality, Brazil

被引:0
|
作者
Dalvi, A. P. R. [1 ]
Braga, J. U. [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] Esco Natl Saude PubE Sergio Arouca, Fundacao Oswa Cruz, Rio De Janeiro, Brazil
[2] Univ Estado Rio de Janeiro, Lnstituto Med Social, Rio De Janeiro, Brazil
关键词
Chikungunya virus; dengue virus; spatio temporal analysis; Zika virus; NEAREST-NEIGHBOR ANALYSIS; VIRUS; SPREAD; RISK;
D O I
10.1017/S0950268819001250
中图分类号
R1 [预防医学、卫生学];
学科分类号
1004 ; 120402 ;
摘要
Different countries, especially Brazil, that have faced recurrent dengue epidemics for decades and chikungunya epidemics since 2014, have had to restructure their health services to combat a triple epidemic of arboviruses - Zika, dengue and Chikungunya - transmitted by the same vector, mainly Aedes aegypti, in 2015-2016. Several efforts have been made to better understand these three arboviruses. Spatial analysis plays an important role in the knowledge of disease dynamics. The knowledge of the patterns of spatial diffusion of these three arboviruses during an epidemic can contribute to the planning of surveillance actions and control of these diseases. This study aimed to identify the spatial diffusion processes of these viruses in the context of the triple epidemic in 2015-2016 in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. Two study designs were used: cross-sectional and ecological. Sequential Kernel maps, nearest-neighbour ratios calculated cumulatively over time, Moran global autocorrelation correlograms, and local autocorrelation changes over time were used to identify spatial diffusion patterns. The results suggested an expansion diffusion pattern for the three arboviruses during 2015-2016 in Rio de Janeiro. These findings can be considered for more effective control measures and for new studies on the dynamics of these three arboviruses.
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页数:13
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