Spatial interpolation of GPS PWV and meteorological variables over the west coast of Peninsular Malaysia during 2013 Kiang Valley Flash Flood

被引:23
|
作者
Suparta, Wayan [1 ]
Rahman, Rosnani [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Kebangsaan Malaysia, Inst Climate Change, Space Sci Ctr ANGKASA, Bangi 43600, Malaysia
关键词
GPS water vapor; Flash flood; Klang Valley; Thin plate spline (tps); Ordinary kriging (Krig); PRECIPITABLE WATER-VAPOR; REGION; RAINFALL;
D O I
10.1016/j.atmosres.2015.09.023
中图分类号
P4 [大气科学(气象学)];
学科分类号
0706 ; 070601 ;
摘要
Global Positioning System (GPS) receivers are widely installed throughout the Peninsular Malaysia, but the implementation for monitoring weather hazard system such as flash flood is still not optimal. To increase the benefit for meteorological applications, the GPS system should be installed in collocation with meteorological sensors so the precipitable water vapor (PWV) can be measured. The distribution of PWV is a key element to the Earth's climate for quantitative precipitation improvement as well as flash flood forecasts. The accuracy of this parameter depends on a large extent on the number of GPS receiver installations and meteorological sensors in the targeted area. Due to cost constraints, a spatial interpolation method is proposed to address these issues. In this paper, we investigated spatial distribution of GPS PWV and meteorological variables (surface temperature, relative humidity, and rainfall) by using thin plate spline (tps) and ordinary kriging (Krig) interpolation techniques over the Kiang Valley in Peninsular Malaysia (longitude: 99.5 degrees- 102.5 degrees E and latitude: 2.0 degrees-6.5 degrees N). Three flash flood cases in September, October, and December 2013 were studied. The analysis was performed using mean absolute error (MAE), root mean square error (RMSE), and coefficient of determination (R-2) to determine the accuracy and reliability of the interpolation techniques. Results at different phases (pre, onset, and post) that were evaluated showed that tps interpolation technique is more accurate, reliable, and highly correlated in estimating GPS PWV and relative humidity, whereas Krig is more reliable for predicting temperature and rainfall during pre-flash flood events. During the onset of flash flood events, both methods showed good interpolation in estimating all meteorological parameters with high accuracy and reliability. The finding suggests that the proposed method of spatial interpolation techniques are capable of handling limited data sources with high accuracy, which in turn can be used to predict future floods. (C) 2015 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:205 / 219
页数:15
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