Comments on 'The state of macroeconomic forecasting'

被引：5

作者：

Croushore, D ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Fed Reserve Bank Philadelphia, Dept Res, Philadelphia, PA 19106 USA

来源：

JOURNAL OF MACROECONOMICS | 2002年 / 24卷 / 04期

基金：

英国经济与社会研究理事会;

关键词：

forecasting; data revisions; real-time data; forecast evaluation;

D O I：

10.1016/S0164-0704(02)00057-5

中图分类号：

F [经济];

学科分类号：

02 ;

摘要：

The paper by Fildes and Stekler provides an overview of empirical results in macroeconomic forecasting. They do not address three key issues: (1) the importance of data revisions and the use of real-time data; (2) the statistical significance of differences between forecasts; and (3) the role of macroeconomic theory in formulating and evaluating macroeconomic forecasts. (C) 2002 Elsevier Science Inc. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：483 / 489

页数：7

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