[1] Harvard Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Environm Hlth, Boston, MA 02115 USA
[2] Harvard Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Biostat, Boston, MA 02115 USA
[3] London Sch Hyg & Trop Med, Dept Med Stat, London WC1, England
[4] Univ Milan, Ctr Mol & Genet Epidemiol, Milan, Italy
[5] VA Boston Healthcare Syst, Boston, MA 02118 USA
[6] Boston Univ, Sch Med, Dept Med, Boston, MA 02118 USA