Added value of convection permitting seasonal simulations

被引:227
作者
Prein, A. F. [1 ,2 ]
Gobiet, A. [1 ,2 ]
Suklitsch, M. [1 ,2 ]
Truhetz, H. [1 ,2 ]
Awan, N. K. [1 ,2 ]
Keuler, K. [3 ]
Georgievski, G. [3 ]
机构
[1] Graz Univ, Wegener Ctr Climate & Global Change WEGC, A-8010 Graz, Austria
[2] Graz Univ, IGAM Inst Phys, A-8010 Graz, Austria
[3] BTU, LS Umweltmeteorol, D-03044 Cottbus, Germany
基金
奥地利科学基金会;
关键词
Added value; Regional climate modeling; Dynamical downscaling; Convection permitting simulation; High resolution; NUMERICAL WEATHER PREDICTION; REGIONAL CLIMATE MODEL; WRF MODEL; VERIFICATION; PARAMETERIZATION; RADIATION; FORECASTS; SCHEME;
D O I
10.1007/s00382-013-1744-6
中图分类号
P4 [大气科学(气象学)];
学科分类号
0706 ; 070601 ;
摘要
In this study the added value of a ensemble of convection permitting climate simulations (CPCSs) compared to coarser gridded simulations is investigated. The ensemble consists of three non hydrostatic regional climate models providing five simulations with similar to 10 and similar to 3 km (CPCS) horizontal grid spacing each. The simulated temperature, precipitation, relative humidity, and global radiation fields are evaluated within two seasons (JJA 2007 and DJF 2007-2008) in the eastern part of the European Alps. Spatial variability, diurnal cycles, temporal correlations, and distributions with focus on extreme events are analyzed and specific methods (FSS and SAL) are used for in-depth analysis of precipitation fields. The most important added value of CPCSs are found in the diurnal cycle improved timing of summer convective precipitation, the intensity of most extreme precipitation, and the size and shape of precipitation objects. These improvements are not caused by the higher resolved orography but by the explicit treatment of deep convection and the more realistic model dynamics. In contrary improvements in summer temperature fields can be fully attributed to the higher resolved orography. Generally, added value of CPCSs is predominantly found in summer, in complex terrain, on small spatial and temporal scales, and for high precipitation intensities.
引用
收藏
页码:2655 / 2677
页数:23
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