Effective Radiative Forcing in a GCM With Fixed Surface Temperatures

被引:26
作者
Andrews, Timothy [1 ]
Smith, Christopher J. [2 ,3 ]
Myhre, Gunnar [4 ]
Forster, Piers M. [2 ]
Chadwick, Robin [1 ,5 ]
Ackerley, Duncan [1 ]
机构
[1] Met Off Hadley Ctr, Exeter, Devon, England
[2] Univ Leeds, Priestley Int Ctr Climate, Leeds, W Yorkshire, England
[3] Int Inst Appl Syst Anal IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria
[4] Ctr Int Climate & Environm Res, Oslo, Norway
[5] Univ Exeter, Global Syst Inst, Exeter, Devon, England
关键词
fixed‐ SST; GCM; land warming; radiative effects; radiative forcing; CLIMATE-CHANGE; EVOLVING PATTERNS; MODEL DESCRIPTION; WARMING CONTRAST; FEEDBACKS; CLOUD; SIMULATIONS; DEPENDENCE; CO2; ADJUSTMENTS;
D O I
10.1029/2020JD033880
中图分类号
P4 [大气科学(气象学)];
学科分类号
0706 ; 070601 ;
摘要
Effective radiative forcing (ERF) is evaluated in the ACCESS1.0 General Circulation Model (GCM) with fixed land and sea-surface-temperatures (SST) as well as sea-ice. The 4xCO(2) ERF is 8.0 W m(-2). In contrast, a typical ERF experiment with only fixed SST and sea-ice gives rise to an ERF of only 7.0 W m(-2). This difference arises due to the influence of land warming in the commonly used fixed-SST ERF experimental design, which results in: (i) increased emission of longwave radiation to space from the land surface (-0.45 W m(-2)) and troposphere (-0.90 W m(-2)), (ii) reduced land snow-cover and albedo (+0.17 W m(-2)), (iii) increased water-vapor (+0.49 W m(-2)), and (iv) a cloud adjustment (-0.26 W m(-2)) due to reduced stability and cloudiness over land (positive ERF) counteracted by increased lower tropospheric stability and marine cloudiness over oceans (negative ERF). The sum of these radiative adjustments to land warming is to reduce the 4xCO(2) ERF in fixed-SST experiments by similar to 1.0 W m(-2). CO2 stomatal effects are quantified and found to contribute just over half of the land warming effect and adjustments in the fixed-SST ERF experimental design in this model. The basic physical mechanisms in response to land warming are confirmed in a solar ERF experiment. We test various methods that have been proposed to account for land warming in fixed-SST ERFs against our GCM results and discuss their strengths and weaknesses.
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页数:19
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