Efficient loss-of-load cost evaluation by combined pseudo-sequential and state transition simulation

被引:27
作者
Mello, JCO
DaSilva, AML
Pereira, MVF
机构
[1] EFEI, FED ENGN SCH, BR-37500000 ITAJUBA, MINAS GERIAS, BRAZIL
[2] POWER SYST RES INC, BR-21470000 IPANEMA, RJ, BRAZIL
关键词
reliability worth; Monte Carlo simulation; composite systems; variance reduction techniques;
D O I
10.1049/ip-gtd:19970676
中图分类号
TM [电工技术]; TN [电子技术、通信技术];
学科分类号
0808 ; 0809 ;
摘要
A new methodology to evaluate loss of load cost (LOLC) indices in composite generation and transmission systems is presented. The proposed approach is based on a combination of pseudo-sequential, state transition and conditional Monte Carlo simulation techniques. The approach can be easily implemented and it only requires models with stationary Markov transitions. Case studies with the IEEE Modified Reliability Test System and the Brazilian Southeastern System are presented and discussed.
引用
收藏
页码:147 / 154
页数:8
相关论文
共 34 条
[1]  
[Anonymous], 1979, IEEE T POWER AP SYST, V98, P2047, DOI 10.1109/TPAS.1979.319398
[2]  
[Anonymous], 1978, Reliability Modeling in Electric Power Systems
[3]  
[Anonymous], 1970, PROBABILITY STAT DEC
[4]   MONTE-CARLO APPROACH IN PLANNING STUDIES - AN APPLICATION TO IEEE RTS [J].
BERTOLDI, O ;
SALVADERI, L ;
SCALCINO, S .
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON POWER SYSTEMS, 1988, 3 (03) :1146-1154
[5]  
BILLINGTON E, 1983, IEEE T PAS, V102
[6]   A SYSTEM STATE TRANSITION SAMPLING METHOD FOR COMPOSITE SYSTEM RELIABILITY EVALUATION [J].
BILLINTON, R ;
LI, W .
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON POWER SYSTEMS, 1993, 8 (03) :761-770
[7]  
Billinton R., 1988, RELIABILITY ASSESSME
[8]  
Billinton R., 1984, RELIABILITY EVALUATI
[9]  
Bratley P., 1987, Guide to Simulation
[10]  
BURNS S, 1990, IEEE T POWER SYSTEMS, V5