Flood type specific construction of synthetic design hydrographs

被引:75
作者
Brunner, Manuela I. [1 ,2 ]
Viviroli, Daniel [1 ,3 ]
Sikorska, Anna E. [1 ,4 ]
Vannier, Olivier [5 ]
Favre, Anne-Catherine [2 ]
Seibert, Jan [1 ,6 ]
机构
[1] Univ Zurich, Dept Geog, Zurich, Switzerland
[2] Univ Grenoble Alpes, Grenoble INP, Grenoble, France
[3] Belop GmbH, Sarnen, Switzerland
[4] Warsaw Univ Life Sci, Dept Hydraul Engn, Warsaw, Poland
[5] Compagnie Natl Rhone, Lyon, France
[6] Uppsala Univ, Dept Earth Sci, Uppsala, Sweden
关键词
RETURN PERIODS; COPULAS; PEAK; CLASSIFICATION; SUITABILITY; SIMULATION; CATCHMENTS; HYDROLOGY; BASEFLOW; RAINFALL;
D O I
10.1002/2016WR019535
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Accurate estimates of flood peaks, corresponding volumes, and hydrographs are required to design safe and cost-effective hydraulic structures. In this paper, we propose a statistical approach for the estimation of the design variables peak and volume by constructing synthetic design hydrographs for different flood types such as flash-floods, short-rain floods, long-rain floods, and rain-on-snow floods. Our approach relies on the fitting of probability density functions to observed flood hydrographs of a certain flood type and accounts for the dependence between peak discharge and flood volume. It makes use of the statistical information contained in the data and retains the process information of the flood type. The method was tested based on data from 39 mesoscale catchments in Switzerland and provides catchment specific and flood type specific synthetic design hydrographs for all of these catchments. We demonstrate that flood type specific synthetic design hydrographs are meaningful in flood-risk management when combined with knowledge on the seasonality and the frequency of different flood types.
引用
收藏
页码:1390 / 1406
页数:17
相关论文
共 74 条
  • [1] [Anonymous], 2013, Runoff prediction in ungauged basins: synthesis across processes, places and scales
  • [2] [Anonymous], 2002, Applied functional data analysis: methods and case studies
  • [3] [Anonymous], 2013, SYNTHESIS PROCESSES, DOI DOI 10.1017/2FCBO9781139235761.001
  • [4] [Anonymous], 2000, Extremes, DOI DOI 10.1023/A:1011459127975
  • [5] Suitability of Gamma, Chi-square, Weibull, and beta distributions as synthetic unit hydrographs
    Bhunya, P. K.
    Berndtsson, R.
    Ojha, C. S. P.
    Mishra, S. K.
    [J]. JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY, 2007, 334 (1-2) : 28 - 38
  • [6] Continuous simulation for design flood estimation - a review
    Boughton, W
    Droop, O
    [J]. ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE, 2003, 18 (04) : 309 - 318
  • [7] Bivariate return periods and their importance for flood peak and volume estimation
    Brunner, Manuela Irene
    Seibert, Jan
    Favre, Anne-Catherine
    [J]. WILEY INTERDISCIPLINARY REVIEWS-WATER, 2016, 3 (06): : 819 - 833
  • [8] Bundesamt fur Wasser und Geologie (BWG), 2005, 7 BWG, V7
  • [9] Chernobai A., 2012, HDB FINANCIAL EC STA, P575, DOI [10.1007/978-1-4614-7750-1, DOI 10.1007/978-1-4614-7750-1]
  • [10] Coles S., 2001, An introduction to statistical modeling of extreme values, DOI [10.1007/978-1-4471-3675-0, DOI 10.1007/978-1-4471-3675-0]