Different Modelling Purposes

被引:110
作者
Edmonds, Bruce [1 ]
Le Page, Christophe [2 ]
Bithell, Mike [3 ]
Chattoe-Brown, Edmund [4 ]
Grimm, Volker [5 ]
Meyer, Ruth [6 ]
Montanola-Sales, Cristina [7 ]
Ormerod, Paul [8 ]
Root, Hilton [9 ]
Squazzoni, Flaminio [10 ]
机构
[1] Manchester Metropolitan Univ, Business Sch, Ctr Policy Modelling, All St Campus,Oxford Rd, Manchester M15 6BH, Lancs, England
[2] CIRAD UPR GREEN, Campus Int Baillarguet,TAC 47-F, F-34398 Montpellier, France
[3] Univ Cambridge, Dept Geog, Downing Pl, Cambridge CB2 3EN, England
[4] Univ Leicester, Sch Media Commun & Sociol, Bankfield House,132 NewWalk, Leicester LE1 7JA, Leics, England
[5] UFZ Helmholtz Ctr Environm Res, Dept Ecol Modelling, Permoserstr 15, D-04318 Leipzig, Germany
[6] Manchester Metropolitan Univ, Ctr Policy Modelling, Aytoun St, Manchester M1 3GH, Lancs, England
[7] Univ Ramon Llull, IQS Sch Management, Via Augusta 390, Barcelona 08017, Spain
[8] Volterra Consulting, 135c Sheen Lane, London SW14 8AE, England
[9] George Mason Univ, Schar Sch Policy & Govt, 3351 Fairfax Dr,MS 3B1, Arlington, VA 22201 USA
[10] Univ Milan, Dept Social & Polit Sci, Via Conservatorio 7, I-20122 Milan, Italy
来源
JASSS-THE JOURNAL OF ARTIFICIAL SOCIETIES AND SOCIAL SIMULATION | 2019年 / 22卷 / 03期
关键词
Models; Purpose; Prediction; Explanation; Theory; Analogy; AGENT-BASED MODELS; SIMULATION; AMBIGUITY; NETWORK;
D O I
10.18564/jasss.3993
中图分类号
C [社会科学总论];
学科分类号
03 ; 0303 ;
摘要
How one builds, checks, validates and interprets a model depends on its 'purpose'. This is true even if the same model code is used for different purposes. This means that a model built for one purpose but then used for another needs to be re-justified for the new purpose and this will probably mean it also has to be re-checked, re-validated and maybe even re-built in a different way. Here we review some of the different purposes fora simulation model of complex social phenomena, focusing on seven in particular: prediction, explanation, description, theoretical exploration, illustration, analogy, and social interaction. The paper looks at some of the implications in terms of the ways in which the intended purpose might fail. This analysis motivates some of the ways in which these 'dangers' might be avoided or mitigated. It also looks at the ways that a confusion of modelling purposes can fatally weaken modelling projects, whilst giving a false sense of their quality. These distinctions clarify some previous debates as to the best modelling strategy (e.g. KISS and KIDS). The paper ends with a plea for modellers to be clear concerning which purpose they are justifying their model against.
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页数:30
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