Climate Variability and Floods-A Global Review

被引:62
作者
Kundzewicz, Zbigniew W. [1 ]
Szwed, Malgorzata [1 ]
Pinskwar, Iwona [1 ]
机构
[1] Polish Acad Sci, Inst Agr & Forest Environm, PL-60809 Poznan, Poland
关键词
floods; climate variability; ocean-atmosphere system; precipitation extremes; river discharge; flood loss; NINO-SOUTHERN-OSCILLATION; NORTH-ATLANTIC OSCILLATION; RIVER FLOW VARIABILITY; ANNUAL MAXIMUM FLOODS; EL-NINO; INTERANNUAL VARIABILITY; DECADAL VARIABILITY; YANGTZE-RIVER; MULTIDECADAL VARIABILITY; PRECIPITATION REGIMES;
D O I
10.3390/w11071399
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
There is a strong inter-annual and inter-decadal variability in time series of flood-related variables, such as intense precipitation, high river discharge, flood magnitude, and flood loss at a range of spatial scales. Perhaps part of this variability is random or chaotic, but it is quite natural to seek driving factors, in a statistical sense. It is likely that climate variability (atmosphere-ocean oscillation) track plays an important role in the interpretation of the variability of flood-related characteristics, globally and, even more so, in several regions. The aim of this review paper is to create an inventory of information on spatially and temporally organized links of various climate-variability drivers with variability of characteristics of water abundance reported in scientific literature for a range of scales, from global to local. The climate variability indices examined in this paper are: El Nino-Southern Oscillations (ENSO), North Atlantic Oscillations (NAO), Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation (AMO), and Pacific Decadal Oscillations (PDO). A meta-analysis of results from many studies reported in scientific literature was carried out. The published results were collected and classified into categories after regions, climate variability modes, as well as flood-related variables: precipitation, river flow, and flood losses.
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页数:24
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