Quantile estimate of the uncertainties of probabilistic safety analysis for objects of the nuclear power industry

被引:1
作者
Rumyantsev, A. N. [1 ]
机构
[1] IV Kurchatov Atom Energy Inst, Russian Res Ctr, Moscow, Russia
关键词
Nuclear Power Plant; Safety Factor; Mathematical Expectation; Quantile Estimate; Nuclear Regulatory Commission;
D O I
10.1007/s10512-006-0141-1
中图分类号
TL [原子能技术]; O571 [原子核物理学];
学科分类号
0827 ; 082701 ;
摘要
Methods for performing comparative analysis of nuclear power plant safety and estimating the residual risk, which are based on analysis of the 95% quantiles of the resulting distributions of the probability density of events which are important for safety, are formulated using an approximate calibration method of quantile estimates of the uncertainties and for the example of the results of a probability analysis of the safer, of nuclear power plants in the USA which are presented in the NUREG-1150 report. The basic assumptions of the methods which make it possible to estimate the stationary risk are presented.
引用
收藏
页码:617 / 624
页数:8
相关论文
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